Using a real-time recession detection algorithm trained on a century of broader labour market data, Michaillat — who is also a research associate at the NBER — estimates a 71 per cent probability that ...

In an interview with Newsweek, Mark Zandi outlined the risks to the U.S. economy and how it could skirt—or slip into—a ...

When recession indicators started flashing this month, some people were happy to say 'I told you so' Historically, a 4.3% unemployment rate is pretty good. But when the July jobs report showed 4.3 ...

"The mindset of the market is to embrace risk because that brings rewards rather than losses -- keep shrugging it off," Steve ...

Why a Recession Isn’t in the Cards ... for Now And what this week’s market volatility means for Fed interest-rate cuts.

From the executive suite to the grocery aisles to the halls of the Federal Reserve, the big question is: Can red-hot inflation be vanquished without tipping the economy into a recession?

A generalized fear of a recession shouldn’t change your homebuying plans. But if you have a specific concern about your job security, then it’s smart to tread cautiously.

The Spaghett, a combination of cheap beer and Aperol, signals weaker consumer spending, which could push the economy into a ...

The US economy is on a knife’s edge, potentially already in a recession after a second quarter of shrinking activity. But indicators are mixed, fueling uncertainty about the way forward.

Jason Furman, Former Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers discusses the economic impact of tariffs and the U.S.